Two Banks of a Technology Pond

The British persona tends to be self-deprecating and reserved when it comes to trumpeting our successes and rather backwards at coming forwards when it comes to converting innovation and research into commercial reality, particularly when compared to our US counterparts.

There is a tendency in the UK to wait until something is proven before investing in it, whereas the USA has more of an appetite for risk. Americans will try something new, if it works they embrace it and believe more, if it doesn't they purse another opportunity. This non-deterministic approach contracts sharply with our tendency in the UK to want to make managed stepwise progress that avoids the risk of failure. The fact of life is that no matter how carefully you plan, you can't avoid some false starts and the need to backtrack and admit making mistakes are all part of the journey.

Having lived and worked on both sides of the pond, my experience is that its the balance between three essential elements of tech success: IP, management and money. And the stigma attached to failure. In the USA there are more tech entrepreneurs prepared to back early stage ideas that VCs or bankers (right so!) wouldn't take even a first look at. This business angel involvement at proof of concept enables new ideas to get one foot out of the lab and onto the radar screen of serious funders with some management DNA already spliced in. Similarly American VCs employ (or are started up) by more tech-savvy people, rather than being top heavy with lawyers and accountants (not that these skills aren't important!). American VC tend then to step in an put serious money into fewer companies that are in better shape to progress than those in the UK enabling a more of a seamless transition from idea to commercialisation

So maybe we need a little more joined-up thinking that combines money, enterprise, innovation and management...

Nothing Ventured...

Deirdre Bounds gave a passionate talk at the Venturefest Yorkshire 2008 dinner. As a former stand up comic I expected a few more laughs, but she mainly focused on her journey from 'bedsit to boardroom'.

What was her take home message? Well mainly that if you have got an idea just do it, even if no one around you gets it: if you believe in yourself you can succeed in realising your vision. This was rather at odds with Ajaz Ahmed's talk earlier in the day where he was lamblasting government support agencies for backing 'lame duck' ideas that were destined to fail and that people shouldn't be given 'false hope' that they can become 'supermodels'

I must admit to being more with Deirdre on this one. Sure, we need to screen out the ideas and people that are just plain daft and applaud the ones that are sure fire winners (because they, like Deirdre, will fly without any outside help or an outside investor getting a slice of the action). But in the beauty contest that is innovation and enterprise, the winners and losers will sort themselves out in the marketplace (think dancefloor, not stage). Out there it's execution and the audience vote that counts: the wisdom of crowds, not the opinion of experts. In my experience, most good ideas start off looking pretty ugly or just plain daft to conventional eyes. As Deirdre says 'We need to encourage weird'.

Something for Nothing...

Surely the best deal is the one that generates the greatest return on investment. But those apparently in the know keep telling me Proof-of-Concept funds can't make money. But aren't business angels tying to make money and they are managing their own mini -POC fund. If you can make money on a small scale why, I ask, doesn't this scale up?

If you watch Dragon's Den they are always looking for the largest percentage of equity they can get. But 100% of nothing is still nothing, so you could say that it doesn’t matter whether you get 20% or 40% (this has been the argument of a few VCs who seem to cut much more generous offers than the dragons do) given most will fail.

Surely the point is that for the 1 in 10 early stage deals that really do fly, what percentage you have of that one is very much the differentiator when you come to analysing the overall portfolio returns. Is the problem then that larger funds just aren't prepared to get down and dirty with regards to valuations whereas individual business angels are very much focused on getting more for less? The fact that an early stage business will often get the cheapest money it's going to get i.e. grant funding followed immediately by the most expensive in terms of equity investment does little to help the situation!

Web 2.0 Startup - Plain Sailing

I attended the North West Startups event organised by Manoj Ranaweera in sunny Manchester - OK it was raining. Four interesting speakers. Stuart Scott-Goldstone talked about the legal aspects of a venture capital investment - necessary detail. Doug Stellmann of YFM Group gave some candid thoughts on investment from a VC perspective emphasising the importance of a stong management team that can react to change, admiting that very few investments follow closely to their business plan however perfectly crafted. The ability to sail through the trials and tribulations of a startup differentiates the winers from the losers. Paul Barraclough of Tecmentor talk on a subject close to my heart - crossing the chasm from early adopters to the mainstream and that very few companies find this plain sailing which reemphasised the need for agile management. Finally, Pam Holland ex-TeleCity reflected on her experience of staffing up a fast growth technology business - nice problem to have, but they didn't seem to have cracked the basic challenge of how to make more money the more you do. Spending money is a lot easier than making it!

On the Web 2.0 front (which was the main interest of entrepreneurs there) the prevailing view from the VCs was any application that you can code up in 3 months could be easily replicated in Bangalore or China, so from a professional investor perspective they would be unlikely to back it given so little barrier to entry. So think about creating something with a little more substance or have paying users before approaching a VC!